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Skip to navigationSkip to main content':"";if(a){var r=n.promos.showYahooLogo?"":"yns-no-logo";a=a.replace("{notifOnboardBtnLabel}",n.promos.notifOnboardBtnLabel).replace("{notifOnboardMsg}",n.promos.notifOnboardMsg).replace("{subscriptionTopic}",n.promos.subscriptionTopic).replace("{noLogoClass}",r).replace("{promoLogo}",n.promos.promoLogo)}var s=t.newCount>n.panel.maxCount?t.newCount:"",c=n.panel.notificationCenterPath,l=c?"":R,u=n.panel.headerMsg?"":" "+R,d=c?H:"",p=void 0;t.count?p=t.markup:p='{emptyPanelMsg}'.replace("{emptyPanelMsg}",n.panel.emptyPanelMsg);return e=e.replace("{notifMarkup}",p).replace("{promoMarkup}",a).replace("{hideClass}",l).replace("{notifCenterLink}",c).replace("{paddingClass}",d).replace("{headerMsg}",n.panel.headerMsg).replace("{hideHeaderClass}",u).replace(/{notificationCenterNavMsg}/g,n.panel.notificationCenterNavMsg).replace(/{newCount}/g,s)}},{key:"render",value:function(e,t){var n=this;if(n._panelNode){var o=void 0,i=n._panelNode,a=void 0,r=void 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See our Advertiser Disclosure.E. Napoletano · ContributorHal Bundrick, CFP® · Senior WriterUpdated Fri, February 27, 2026 at 6:50 PM GMT+1 9 min readThe national average 30-year rate is the lowest it's been since 2022 — now sitting at 5.98%, according to Freddie Mac. What does a sub-6% home loan rate mean for 2026 housing market? Will mortgage rates continue to drop?Want to buy a house in early 2026? Here’s how to get started.In short, yes. As of February 26, Freddie Mac reported that the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate is 5.89%. This is three basis points lower than last week, and 78 basis points lower than this time last year. In late February 2025, mortgage rates averaged 6.76%.The average 15-year fixed mortgage rate this week is 5.44%. This is up nine basis points since last week, but 50 basis points lower than this time last year.In situations like these, it’s helpful to look at the numbers. Here’s the Freddie Mac data on mortgage rates for the past 52 weeks as of Feb. 26, 2026:30-year fixed-rate mortgage: 5.98% to 6.89%15-year fixed-rate mortgage: 5.35% to 6.03%Mortgage rates have been falling in unison with the bond market. The 10-year Treasury sank below the 4% mark on Feb. 27; a nearly 6% drop in one month. The stock market has experienced sharp volatility in recent weeks, pressing some investors to move into bonds. As prices rise with demand, yields fall.In January, President Trump encouraged Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-sponsored enterprises that provide capital to the mortgage market, to buy billions of dollars in mortgage bonds. The move tightened the spread between mortgage rates and 10-year Treasurys (as explained below).While lower mortgage rates can stoke demand, a shortage of home inventory remains a concern.“Lower rates can give buyers more confidence to enter the market, as they improve affordability,” Matt Vernon, head of consumer lending at Bank of America, said in a statement. “Inventory has been a consistent challenge for buyers, and while more borrowers now have mortgages above 6% than below 3%, lower rates could encourage some to consider a move, though we’d expect this to happen gradually.”Nevertheless, Vernon noted that Bank of America has seen a 22% year-over-year increase in mortgage applications, with funding volumes up 26.5%.Discover the lenders with the best mortgage rates this week.Up Next8 tips for getting the lowest mortgage ratesHow much house can I afford? Affordability calculatorHow does the president affect mortgage rates?The Federal Reserve lowered the fed funds rate three times in 2025, but the central bank kept the rate stagnant at its first meeting of 2026. So, what does this mean for mortgage rates in the upcoming year?When the Fed — the common nickname for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) — held its Sept. 2025 meeting, it voted to lower the federal funds rate by 25 basis points. Then, it announced its second 25-bps cut of the year at its October meeting and third at the December meeting.That federal funds rate tends to directly influence rates on shorter-term lending. While mortgage rates aren’t directly based on the fed funds rate, they typically mirror fed fund rate trends. So, if the fed funds rate goes down, mortgage rates will likely follow. The inverse is also true.When people anticipate a fed funds rate cut, mortgage rates usually fall in the weeks leading up to the meeting. However, home loan rates don’t necessarily continue to decrease after a fed funds rate cut.In 2024, mortgage rates plummeted throughout August and early September as people expected the Fed to lower its rate at the bank’s September meeting. But mortgage rates stopped decreasing significantly after this meeting — and after the two additional rate cuts later that year.The same thing happened in 2025. Mortgage rates gradually declined in the weeks leading up to the September meeting when people expected the Fed to lower its rate, and even though the fed funds rate did go down, mortgage rates bounced back up.The Fed did not lower the fed funds rate at its January meeting, and is considering its options for the balance of the year. The next Fed meeting is in mid-March, but it’s unlikely that the central bank will lower its rate at this meeting.Dig deeper into how the Federal Reserve affects mortgage rates.While short-term lending rates closely follow the fed funds rate, mortgage rates more closely follow the 10-year Treasury yield. As of February 26, the 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.02% — down from 4.29% a year prior.Now, you’re probably wondering why today’s mortgage rates aren’t in the 4% range, right?To determine current mortgage rates, lenders add a “spread” to the 10-year Treasury yield. The spread is simply the difference between the rates consumers pay and the rate on the 10-year Treasury. Without getting too much into the weeds, charging a spread helps mortgage lenders cover costs associated with making loans to the public and the risk of providing such loans.For example, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 5.98%, and the 10-year Treasury yield is 4.02% — a spread of 1.96%. A year ago, the 30-year rate was 6.76%, and the 10-year yield was 4.29%, resulting in a spread of 2.47 percentage points. Today’s spread is smaller, which is one reason mortgage rates are lower now.Follow these 8 tips to get a mortgage rate under 6%.In short, no. You shouldn’t necessarily wait to buy a home until mortgage rates drop below 6% or lower. Mortgage rates are just one part of the affordability equation. You also have to consider home prices, a factor of housing supply and demand.The current housing market is in a crunch. To put it simply, buyers outnumber homes for sale, especially homes in price ranges accessible to the first-time home buyer. When supply and demand are out of balance like this, home prices tend to remain high since sellers know they’ll have multiple buyers interested.According to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, the median sale price of single-family homes has generally trended upward since Q1 of 2009. At that time, the median sale price was $208,400. The median price had risen to $410,800 by Q2 2025.Even in the event of a recession, prospective buyers likely won’t see much relief. If interest rates drop like they tend to do in recessions, that will increase the number of people looking to buy and lock in a lower interest rate. That drives up demand for the already limited supply of homes.To truly save, buyers need both interest rates and home prices to drop. Mortgage rates are inching down, and housing prices are stagnant or even lowering in certain parts of the country. Situations may be improving for buyers.Learn how mortgage rates respond during a recession.If you crave the comforts of homeownership, the best strategy in today’s market may be to buy what you can afford. Whether that means a smaller house or a condo instead of a single-family home, owning something puts you in a position to start building equity.Yes, shopping for the best mortgage lenders with low rates and fees is crucial when getting a mortgage. But to help you find your ideal home that balances affordability and desirability, it pays to adopt a curious mindset and consider lesser-discussed financial tools.There’s no better time to learn more about your local real estate market than today. By adopting a sense of curiosity, you could discover that your city has more to offer housing-wise than you previously thought.You may want to take weekend excursions to lesser-known neighborhoods and suburban developments beyond the city limits. You never know what you’ll find that could expand your idea of what “home” looks like — including new developments, school districts, and types of homes.If you’re looking to spend less on a home in today’s mortgage market, a house needing a bit of TLC could help you do just that. Loans like the FHA 203(k) mortgage can roll your purchase and renovation costs into one convenient loan. When you qualify and have an accepted offer, your lender immediately funds the home’s purchase price and puts the cost of renovations into an escrow account. As you make repairs, funds get dispersed.How would it feel to have a longer commute yet come home to a house you love? Master-planned communities tend to crop up outside major cities, offering various amenities like parks, shopping, and top-notch schools — all in exchange for a longer commute. These areas could look a lot more palatable if they offer commuting options like park-and-ride or commuter rail. Dare to consider parking the car and taking public transit if it could get you into the home of your dreams.While shared walls, floors, and ceilings might not immediately scream “dream home,” they could help you find an affordable home in a terrific area. Condominiums come in various shapes and sizes, from apartment-style flats to townhomes. Depending on the area, you might even score a small backyard. However, be sure to consider HOA fees when calculating your monthly payment.While the monthly payment on a 15-year mortgage will be higher than the typical 30-year, these loans have plenty of upsides. Not only will you pay off your home on a speedier timeline, but you’ll also likely score a lower interest rate and save a ton on interest over the life of your loan.To make today’s mortgage rates more palatable, look into rate buydown options. An interest rate buydown lets you pay cash up front in exchange for a reduced interest rate on your mortgage. Buydowns can be permanent or temporary, like for your loan's first one to three years. Even a few years of lower rate relief can make today’s home prices more affordable.Read about the 5-year mortgage rate predictions.Expert opinions differ on what mortgage rates will do over the next year or so. Fannie Mae’s February Housing Forecast put the 30-year fixed rate near 6% through the end 2026 and for all of 2027.Compared to historical mortgage rates, 7% isn’t considered a high rate. While it might be high compared to pandemic-era rates that were sub-3%, it’s on par with mortgage rates in the 1990s and considerably lower than the double-digit rates seen in the late 1970s and early 1980s.It’s not impossible to get a 3% interest rate, but doing so requires the perfect set of circumstances. You’d need to find a homeowner with an assumable mortgage — one that can be passed to a new owner at the same interest rate as the original loan. Assumable mortgages are generally government-backed loans from agencies like the VA, FHA, or USDA.