Fundamental Market Analysis for February 27, 2026 EURUSDEuro/US DollarSAXO:EURUSDFresh-Forexcast2004EUR/USD is hovering around 1.18100 on Friday as the market weighs the balance between resilient US data and cautious signals on the future interest-rate path. The dollar is supported by recent inflation and consumption figures, as well as expectations that the regulator will base decisions on a series of reports rather than a single release. On the US side, investors remain focused on price indicators and business activity: stronger inflation raises required yields on dollar assets and restrains demand for riskier instruments. Another source of uncertainty is trade tariffs and their potential impact on import prices and growth, prompting the market to price a wider range of scenarios. In the euro area, the backdrop for the euro remains more restrained: weaker demand dynamics and gradual cooling in inflation strengthen expectations that financing conditions will stay accommodative. If US statistics continue to confirm economic resilience, the gap in rate expectations will favor the dollar, and the pair may shift into a downside correction. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.18050, SL 1.18350, TP 1.17150