About $80 billion in Trump tariffs were collected during the U.S.–China trade war. Now, a new Trump tariff refund checks bill in Congress could return part of that money to Americans. Lawmakers acted after the U.S. Supreme Court ruled key tariffs unlawful. That decision opened the door for refunds with possible interest. If passed, eligible businesses and potentially households could receive direct payments. Average estimates range near $500 to $600 per household, depending on distribution rules. No timeline exists yet for Trump tariff refund checks in 2026.